Feature · #004

AI Picks: How our predictions work.

No magic, no black box. How Claude combines xG, form, head-to-head, and market consensus — and why you can read the reasoning.

Leo Brunnhofer·May 24, 2026·5 min
Leo BrunnhoferFounder · built BetTillDone 2016–2018 (119 players, 76% activation)May 24, 2026Updated: XGitHub

No magic — transparency

You see an AI Pick next to the tip input and wonder: where does that come from? Fair question. We use Claude to calculate a prediction for each of the 104 World Cup matches. This is not an oracle and not a random generator. It is a model that combines public data and tells you why it thinks what it thinks.

Every pick comes with a reasoning block. You can expand it and read through. If the reasoning doesn't convince you, tip differently. That's how it's supposed to work.

What goes in

Four data sources feed into each pick:

  • Expected Goals (xG) from the last 10 international matches of both teams
  • Form curve from the last 5 competitive fixtures
  • Head-to-head record of direct encounters
  • Market consensus from Polymarket data

Claude weighs these signals, spots patterns, and outputs a tendency — win, draw, or loss, plus an estimated goal range.

What stays out

No insider info, no lineup leaks, no social-media sentiment. We don't want data sources we can't explain. If you can't follow the pick, we haven't done our job.

How to get it

AI Picks are an optional Premium feature for €19. You don't need them to play — they're a tool, not a requirement. Your gut feeling beats any model when Argentina scores in the 93rd minute. But when you're unsure, you've got a second opinion that did its homework.

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