WM 2026 Gruppe K: Portugal, Kolumbien, Usbekistan, DR Kongo — Prognose

The "Ronaldo farewell" group

Group K is Cristiano Ronaldo's sixth WC (at 41) — almost certainly his last. Portugal is favoured, but Colombia (James Rodríguez, Luis Díaz) is more dangerous than the FIFA rank suggests.

Schedule: - Wed June 17: Portugal vs DR Congo - Thu June 18: Uzbekistan vs Colombia - Tue June 23: Portugal vs Uzbekistan - Wed June 24: Colombia vs DR Congo - Sat June 27: Colombia vs Portugal + DR Congo vs Uzbekistan (parallel)

Portugal: Martínez + Ronaldo farewell

Martínez has made Portugal one of the most possession-secure teams in Europe. Bernardo Silva orchestrates, Bruno Fernandes delivers goal threat from midfield. Ronaldo (41, Al-Nassr) as captain, almost certainly at his last WC. 27 players in the squad instead of 26 (special exemption).

Strength: Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes, goal rate Weakness: Ronaldo dependence in box situations

Colombia: James class

Colombia under Lorenzo plays controlled possession football with James as metronome. Luis Díaz (Liverpool) provides unpredictability on the left. Paper second power, but dangerous underdog.

Strength: James creativity, Díaz pace Weakness: defensively not always stable

Uzbekistan: WC debut

Uzbekistan debuts at a World Cup with newcomer energy. Shomurodov (Serie A experience) is the star. Coach Timur Kapadze (since Katanec's departure).

Strength: underdog energy, nothing to lose Weakness: little WC experience in the squad

DR Congo: back after 50 years

DR Congo is back at a WC after 50 years. Sébastien Desabre coaches the team. With pace and individual class (multiple Bundesliga and Ligue 1 players in the squad).

Strength: pace, individual quality Weakness: team cohesion under pressure

The three scenarios

Scenario 1 (~48%): Portugal first, Colombia second

Standard scenario. Both top teams advance. Uzbekistan and DR Congo out.

Scenario 2 (~32%): Colombia as group winner

Colombia beats Portugal on the last matchday (June 27). Group win via GD or direct.

Scenario 3 (~20%): upset

Uzbekistan or DR Congo takes points off one of the top two. Table fight to the end.

Tipper strategy

Market consensus: Portugal 60% group winner, Colombia 28%. Tipping Colombia as group winner (via Colombia win vs Portugal on last day) has high bonus potential.

Stammtisch hack: Uzbekistan vs Colombia (June 18) is under-tipped. A 2-1 Colombia call almost guarantees GD points.

FAQ

Who is the Group K favourite?

Portugal — market consensus ~52% group win. Colombia second (~28%).

Does Ronaldo play for Portugal at WC 2026?

Yes, at 41 in his sixth WC. Almost certainly his last major tournament.

Who coaches Uzbekistan?

Timur Kapadze (since early 2025, after Srečko Katanec's departure). First WC for the team.

When does Portugal play Colombia?

June 27, 2026 — the group-decisive match.

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Note: analysis, not a betting recommendation.